Stanciel et al. (2000) grew peanuts hydroponically for 110 days in controlled environment chambers maintained at atmospheric CO2 concentrations of 400, 800 and 1200 ppm, finding that the net photosynthetic rates of plants grown at 800 ppm CO2 were 29% greater than those of plants grown at 400 ppm CO2, but that plants grown at 1200 ppm CO2 displayed photosynthetic rates that were 24% lower than those exhibited by plants grown in 400-ppm CO2 air.  Nevertheless, the number of pods, pod weight and seed dry weight per unit area were all greater at 1200 ppm than at 400 ppm CO2.  Also, harvest index, which is the ratio of seed dry weight to pod dry weight, was 19 and 31% greater at 800 and 1200 ppm CO2, respectively, than it was at 400 ppm CO2.  In addition, as the atmospheric CO2 concentration increased, stomatal conductance decreased, becoming 44 and 50% lower at 800 and 1200 ppm than it was at 400 ppm CO2.  Thus, atmospheric CO2 enrichment also reduced transpirational water loss, leading to a significant increase in plant water use efficiency.

Prasad et al. (2003) grew Virginia Runner (Georgia Green) peanuts from seed to maturity in sunlit growth chambers maintained at atmospheric CO2 concentrations of 350 and 700 ppm and daytime-maximum/nighttime-minimum air temperatures of 32/22, 36/26, 40/30 and 44/34°C, while they assessed various aspects of vegetative and reproductive growth.  In doing so, they found that leaf photosynthetic rates were unaffected by air temperature over the range investigated; but they rose by 27% in response to the experimental doubling of the air's CO2 content.

Vegetative biomass, on the other hand, increased by 51% and 54% in the ambient and CO2-enriched air, respectively, as air temperature rose from 32/22 to 40/30°C.  A further air temperature increase to 44/34°C, however, caused moderate to slight decreases in vegetative biomass in both the ambient and CO2-enriched air, so that the final biomass increase over the entire temperature range investigated was 27% in ambient air and 53% in CO2-enriched air.  When going from the lowest temperature ambient CO2 treatment to the highest temperature elevated CO2 treatment, however, there was a whopping 106% increase in vegetative biomass.

In contrast, seed yields in both the ambient and CO2-enriched air dropped dramatically with each of the three temperature increases studied, declining at the highest temperature regime to but a small percentage of what they were at the lowest temperature regime.  Nevertheless, Prasad et al. report that "seed yields at 36.4/26.4°C under elevated CO2 were similar to those obtained at 32/22°C under ambient CO2," the latter pair of which temperatures they describe as "present-day seasonal temperatures."

In light of these findings, it would appear that a warming of 4.4°C above present-day seasonal temperatures for peanut production would have essentially no effect on peanut seed yields, as long as the atmosphere's CO2 concentration rose concurrently, by something on the order of 350 ppm.  It is also important to note, according to Prasad et al., that "maximum/minimum air temperatures of 32/22°C and higher [our italics] are common [our italics] in many [our italics] peanut-producing countries across the globe."  In fact, they note that "the Anantapur district in Andhra Pradesh, which is one of the largest peanut-producing regions in India, experiences season-long temperatures considerably greater [our italics] than 32/22°C from planting to maturity [our italics]."

In light of these real-world observations, i.e., that some of the best peanut-producing regions in the world currently experience air temperatures considerably greater than what Prasad et al. suggest is optimum for peanuts (something less than 32/22°C), it would appear that real-world declines in peanut seed yields in response to a degree or two of warming, even in air of ambient CO2 concentration, must be very slight or even non-existent (for how else could the places that commonly experience these considerably higher temperatures remain some of the best peanut-producing areas in the world?), which in turn suggests that for more realistic values of CO2-induced global warming, i.e., temperature increases on the order of 0.4°C for a doubling of the air's CO2 content (Idso, 1998), there would likely be a significant increase in real-world peanut production.

In another pertinent study, Vu (2005) grew peanut plants from seed to maturity in greenhouses maintained at atmospheric CO2 concentrations of 360 and 720 ppm and at air temperatures that were 1.5 and 6.0°C above outdoor air temperatures, while he measured a number of parameters related to the plants' photosynthetic performance.  His work revealed that although Rubisco protein content and activity were down-regulated by elevated CO2, the Rubisco photosynthetic efficiency (the ratio of midday light-saturated carbon exchange rate to Rubisco initial or total activity) of the elevated-CO2 plants "was 1.3- to 1.9-fold greater than that of the ambient-CO2 plants at both growth temperatures."  He also determined that "leaf soluble sugars and starch of plants grown at elevated CO2 were 1.3- and 2-fold higher, respectively, than those of plants grown at ambient CO2."  In addition, he discovered that the leaf transpiration of the elevated-CO2 plants relative to that of the ambient-CO2 plants was 12% less at near-ambient temperatures and 17% less in the higher temperature regime, while the water use efficiency of the elevated-CO2 plants relative to the ambient-CO2 plants was 56% greater at near-ambient temperatures and 41% greater in the higher temperature environment.

In commenting on his findings, Vu notes that because less Rubisco protein was required by the elevated-CO2 plants, the subsequent redistribution of excess leaf nitrogen "would increase the efficiency of nitrogen use for peanut under elevated CO2," just as the optimization of inorganic carbon acquisition and greater accumulation of the primary photosynthetic products in the CO2-enriched plants "would be beneficial for peanut growth at elevated CO2."  Indeed, in the absence of other stresses, Vu's ultimate conclusion was that "peanut photosynthesis would perform well under rising atmospheric CO2 and temperature predicted for this century."

In a somewhat different type of study, Alexandrov and Hoogenboom (2000) studied how year-to-year changes in temperature, precipitation and solar radiation had influenced the yields of peanuts over a 30-year period in the southeastern United States, after which they used the results to predict future crop yields based on climate-change output from various global circulation models (GCMs) of the atmosphere.  At ambient CO2 concentrations, the GCM scenarios suggested a decrease in peanut yields by the year 2020, due in part to predicted changes in temperature and precipitation.  However, when the yield-enhancing effects of a doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration were included, a totally different result was obtained: a yield increase.

Although we have little faith in GCM scenarios, it is interesting to note that their climate change predictions often result in positive outcomes for agricultural productivity when the direct effects of elevated CO2 on plant growth and development are included in the analyses.  These results support the findings of the voluminous Journal Reviews on our website, which describe the stress-ameliorating effects of atmospheric CO2 enrichment on plant growth and development under unfavorable growing conditions characterized by high air temperatures and inadequate soil moisture.

In conclusion, it would appear that even if the climate changes that are typically predicted to result from anticipated increases in the air's CO2 content were to materialize (which we very strongly doubt will happen), the concurrent rise in the air's CO2 concentration should more than compensate for any deleterious effects those changes in climate might otherwise have had on the growth and yield of peanuts.

References
Alexandrov, V.A. and Hoogenboom, G.  2000.  Vulnerability and adaptation assessments of agricultural crops under climate change in the Southeastern USA.  Theoretical and Applied Climatology 67: 45-63.

Idso, S.B.  1998.  CO2-induced global warming: a skeptic's view of potential climate change.  Climate Research 10: 69-82.

Prasad, P.V.V., Boote, K.J., Allen Jr., L.H. and Thomas, J.M.G.  2003.  Super-optimal temperatures are detrimental to peanut (Arachis hypogaea L.) reproductive processes and yield at both ambient and elevated carbon dioxide.  Global Change Biology 9: 1775-1787.

Stanciel, K., Mortley, D.G., Hileman, D.R., Loretan, P.A., Bonsi, C.K. and Hill, W.A.  2000.  Growth, pod and seed yield, and gas exchange of hydroponically grown peanut in response to CO2 enrichment.  HortScience 35: 49-52.

Vu, J.C.V.  2005.  Acclimation of peanut (Arachis hypogaea L.) leaf photosynthesis to elevated growth CO2 and temperature.  Environmental and Experimental Botany 53: 85-95.